Slide 1 Ultra-low mortgage rates below 3% during 2020–2022 created today’s housing market lock-in effect. Slide 2 Homeowners keep ultra-low loans because moving means paying much higher mortgage rates today. Slide 3 This lock-in helped push existing home sales nearly 25% below 2019 levels. Slide 4 Mortgages under 4% still represent about half of...
Fannie Mae's economic forecast indicates that mortgage rates will remain volatile in 2025 due to ongoing inflation and trade tensions. The group expects rates to end 2025 at 6.6% and 2026 at 6.5%. The "lock-in effect" may persist, limiting home sales as high rates affect affordability. Home sales are projected to be 22% below 2019 levels, despite an upward adjustment in outlook due to...
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